Slugger*

The proven AI propfinder for MLB. 47,586 matchups backtested. 20.4% ELITE hit rate live in 2026. No hype. Just the model and the receipts.

* Live backtest, 2026 season to date.
The Dashboard

Every pick graded. Every score live.

SLUGGER · LIVE
2026-04-20 · ET
Lock of the Day · Score 107.3
Mike TroutLAA vs TEX · HR
Odds
+440
ELITE rate
8.0%
Kelly
$0
2Aaron Judge+380104.4
3Shohei Ohtani+420101.5
4Yordan Alvarez+340103.3
5Jordan Walker+52098.9
6Corey Seager+46087.1
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Live scores, graded picks, Kelly-sized bet suggestions, and your compounding bankroll — one surface.

Transparency

I built Slugger because the books hold all the information. This model flips it.

Over three years, I backtested 47,586 MLB matchups across a full 2024 season and three years of July data. Twelve research reports. Seventeen scientific principles. The model is profitable five of six months at +22.9% ROI on 90+ score picks. Every grade is published. Every pick is backtested nightly against MLB's own box scores.

47,586
Matchups backtested
20.4%
ELITE hit rate (2026)
3.3%
MLB baseline
+22.9%
ROI at 90+ score

Studio-grade data for sharp bettors. Built on proof. Powered by signal.

Today's Super Elite pick.
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01

Proven Scoring.

  • 47,586 matchups backtested on 2024 data
  • Monotonic score gradient: 6.3% → 24.6%
  • 20.4% ELITE hit rate live in 2026
  • Model is profitable 5 of 6 months
Learn more
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02

Live Pipeline.

  • Slate scored by 2:30 PM ET daily
  • Savant + MLB API + weather integrated
  • Bayesian live probability updates
  • Auto-resolve vs box scores nightly
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03

Only the Right Odds.

  • FanDuel, BetMGM, DraftKings only
  • Other books corrupt EV — filtered out
  • Kelly-sized bet suggestions per pick
  • Bankroll compounding built in
Learn more

The receipts are public.
The edge is yours.

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